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METODE QUADRATIC SPLINE DAN HELIGMAN-POLLARD DALAM PENYUSUNAN LIFE TABLE DESA GEGELANG LOMBOK BARAT

Andri Azmul Fauzi, Endar Hafasah Nugrahani, Hadi Sumarno

Abstract


In this paper, we conduct research by compiling an  abridged life table using the graduation method based on real data obtained at Gegelang Village, West Lombok. The graduation method used in this study included quadratic spline and Heligman-Pollard. Based on the results, a special case of A-method was chosen as a method used to make a rough life table before graduation. After graduation process, it was found that the most suitable method was the Heligman-Pollard method. This is based on the graph produced using this method which is monotonous in nature, not fluctuating like other graduation methods. In addition, life expectancy obtained at 65,72 years is close to West Lombok's life expectancy based on 2015.


Keywords


graduation process, life table, life expectancy

References


Barnett HAR. 1985. Criteria of smoothness. Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, 11: 331 -367.

Brown RL. 1997. Introduction to the mathematics of demography (Third Edition). Winsted (Conecticut): Actex Publication.

Heligman L, Pollard JH. 1980. The age pattern of mortality. Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, 107: 49-80.

London D. 1997. Survival Models and Their Estimation (Third Edition). Winsted (Connecticut): Actex Publication.

Riyana M. 2018. Penentuan metode terbaik untuk menduga life table penduduk lanjut usia di Indonesia [Tesis]. Bogor (ID): Institut Pertanian Bogor.

Utomo B. 1985. Mortalitas: pengertian dan contoh kasus di Indonesia. Jakarta (ID): Universitas Indonesia.


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DOI: 10.33751/interval.v3i1.6028 Abstract views : 145 views : 139

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